2016.12.5 John Pilger :即將到來的對華戰爭(紀錄片)

2016.12.6---紀錄片《即將到來的對華戰爭》（The coming war on China）英國電視台ITV播出
2016.12.5---紀錄片《即將到來的對華戰爭》（The coming war on China）英國影院上映
2016.12.4---英国《每日星报》:（The coming war on China）这部纪录片认为，由中美引发的第三次世界大战即将成为现实，因为美国当选总统特朗普正在动员一场大规模的毁灭性战争。美国试图挑起与中国的战争，两个超级大国之间的核战争已“不再不可想象”,中美两国今年在中国南海上呈现紧张态势，双方都举行了大规模的军事演习，有人担心这可能会触发第三次世界大战。中国经济正继续扩展，看起来已威胁到了美国在全球舞台上的主导地位。
==John Pilger :在“亚太再平衡”政策的指导下，美国大多数海军都已部署到了亚太地区——400个部署了军舰、核武器和轰炸机的基地，在中国周边形成了一个“完美的绞索”。

2009.11.9---美國东西方研究中心 :根据历史经验来看，有关中国将接替成为主导世界的看法，可能会促使美国通过战争手段来阻止全球权力向中国转移
美國軍事大戰略---須靠救濟保護&弱小又分裂的世界==科索沃獨立是將軍事強大的南斯拉夫聯邦（南聯）解體，使弱小又分裂的巴爾幹半烏，須靠北約組織保護及世界銀行救濟
美國政治大戰略---控制他國精英==讓“經濟殺手”去賄賂他國的統治精英，先使他們背一身債，無法償還，再用方法使他們為美國戰略利益服
美國經濟大戰略---维持世界农业大国
a先大量买入工业品，同时廉价出口粮食，把各国农业挤垮
b降低农作物出口 .剩餘粮食转乙醇燃料，减少对中东石油依赖
c提高农产品价格，降低美国农业补贴，減少美国高额赤字
d维持世界农业大国



-----The Coming War on China by John Pilger



--- John Pilger :‘The Coming War on China’ -----



-----Google 字幕紀錄-----
0:00well Cuba continues to be blockaded by 0:01the USA a blockade of the superpower of 0:04this century China comes under scrutiny 0:06in the 60 films John Pilger which opens 0:08in cinemas next week coming war on China 0:10will be screened around the world here 0:12on RT award-winning journalist and 0:13filmmaker John Pilger joins me now and 0:15John thanks for going back on the show 0:17why should the world be focusing on 0:19President Obama's pivot to Asia and the 0:23issues you described as well as you 0:25mentioned it's a blockade but this is 0:28probably the most dangerous blockade 0:30there are 400 US bases encircling tryna 0:35they start in Australia they go through 0:37the Pacific they go up through Japan 0:39Korea across eurasia it's like a a giant 0:44noose around china missiles warships low 0:49draft warships which can approach China 0:51just outside Chinese waters the 0:55provocation of China that has gone on in 0:59the last five six years has been extreme

1:02to the point where China itself has 1:05changed its nuclear weapons policy it's 1:08gone from from low alert to high alert 1:12it's develop the kind of of long-range 1:15missiles that will target the US Navy I 1:19mean it is extraordinary 1:21it's not only blockades the blackout 1:23apart from you and I discussing it and 1:27here and there in the medium usually on 1:29the worldwide web the black out of this 1:33situation around china has been has been 1:36almost total you have the biggest 1:38buildup of us 1:40air and naval forces since the Second 1:43World War 1:44that's an extraordinary story that has 1:45simply been suppressed that every single 1:48news report and i think i'm getting 1:50every single one industry media with 1:52that exception tells us that needs China 1:54that is pushing military aggression in 1:56the South China Sea 1:57well so what you're talking about is 1:59merely a response i've been in a way

2:01that for the film is about the news the 2:03perception that we're given where we're 2:06not allowed to know these important 2:08and very disturbing events we use from 2:12the BBC various news reports of BBC CNN 2:16Fox and others are at near the beginning 2:21of the film which are all about as I 2:24think the BBC report says china's 2:26ambitious plans to to to to fortify the 2:32South China Sea build air strips in the 2:34South China Sea and indeed it is 2:36building air strips in the South China 2:38Sea but another blackout has been on the 2:40biggest military exercise in living 2:43memory and that was Operation talisman 2:45saber which the US last year 2015 the 2:49us-led and in which they rehearsed the 2:54the blockade of the Straits of Malacca 2:56through which come eighty percent of 2:59China's oil its resources it's much of

3:02its trade and so on so this this 3:05constant provocation is really what that 3:08rather innocuous term pivot to Asia but 3:11obama announced in 2011 really made it 3:15because it's not just Obama successively 3:17us administrations have been in that 3:20environment why in your films the 3:22Marshall Islands this group of islands 3:24in the Pacific feature at the top of the 3:27film 3:27well I'll be what we're what we're 3:29talking about here with this blockade of 3:31China is really a nuclear threat where 3:35we're back at the few minutes to 3:38midnight in terms of the possibility the 3:41prospect of nuclear war in which the the 3:44Pentagon's lure of war manual now says 3:48it's okay 3:49in effect to use nuclear weapons so we 3:52have the provocation of the newest major 3:56nuclear power and the Marshall Islands

4:00the Marshall Islands figure in this 4:02because the Marshall Islands is where 4:03the nuclear age began wear something 4:06like the equivalent of one Hiroshima 4:09everyday was exploded in the Marshall 4:13Islands which for 12 years and today in 4:16the Marshall Islands there's a major 4:18secretive US base on Kwajalein 4:21at all which was set up to with with 4:26China as its target this base interest 4:29in its surveillance in its missile 4:32firing commands the Pacific all the way 4:37to wager in china so it's part of its a 4:40major part of the necklace of us bases 4:45its going to another element of the 4:46necklace around which is also in it it 4:49just past few days actually people were 4:51marking six months since the arrest of a 4:53US military contractor in Okinawa for 4:56rape 4:57what is the significance of okinawa in

5:00this necklace 5:00well our kanawa is is has a hundred and 5:03thirty-two US military installations I 5:07haven't been anywhere quite like it it's 5:10like it's like a it the term aircraft 5:14carrier is often used but this is people 5:17who lived there are permanently fenced 5:19in and they fenced in by US bases there 5:22is a very active and very provide burnt 5:26and he bases movement but from these 5:29bases the US has attacked all goes right 5:34back its attack Vietnam Laos Cambodia 5:36today Afghanistan Iraq it is it but its 5:44its significance now is that it's 400 5:47miles from china and all these bases are 5:52aimed at china the Japanese government 5:55wants that bit that Japan says the 5:57Japanese I'd world 5:59yes the jackpot the Japanese the japan

6:02is is not really an independent country 6:05in terms of foreign policy it and most 6:09of its bases in Japan most American 6:12bases are on the island of of Okinawa 6:15Japan has very Nationalist government 6:18under Shinzo Abby it seems to want to if 6:23it doesn't want to go to war with China 6:26it's a a bein a lot of his ministers 6:29he's very naturalistic ministers are 6:31saying some very extraordinary things 6:33there's a great deal of proper 6:34occasion there the point about all of 6:37this you know is that i don't think 6:39anyone wants nuclear war or even the war 6:42between great powers like the US and 6:44China but what is happening here is the 6:47laying of ground a landscape of 6:50potential mistakes and accidents and as 6:54a panel in the u.s. said not long ago 6:57led by a general james Cartwright he

7:00said that within they worried that the 7:04decision to retaliate against nuclear 7:07attack comes down to less than 12 7:11minutes so we're back to that almost a 7:16strangelet world which we worried about 7:18or at least a year generation the 7:21trouble with the whole area loud and i 7:23think we should be worrying about it 7:24again because China is one front that is 7:27in Asia you know there's in the northern 7:30hemisphere there is a in effect the kind 7:34of encirclement of Russia on the western 7:37borders of Russia there is u.s. NATO 7:40troops of oppressing so these two fronts 7:44are probably i would think the most 7:47urgent issues they are the most urgent 7:49issues in the world today because they 7:51represent the whole precarious state of 7:54relations between great powers and with 7:56a change of President of the United 7:59States it could go either way I'm not

8:01sure which way it will go but it's a 8:03very fragile period eliminate so many 8:06issues we got talk about all of them you 8:08do go through the fact that it didn't 8:09even need to be this way now in 1949 8:12made overtures the United States just 8:13one quick mention on drugs because 8:16there's an allegation in this film about 8:18the answers to the current US Secretary 8:20of State 8:21well it's not really an allegation there 8:23are all historical facts actually no one 8:27really mentioned them as James Bradley 8:29the author of the China mirage tells us 8:33in in the film he he researched the 8:36princes the father of Franklin Delano 8:39Roosevelt was basically a drug runner 8:41the Americans of that generation john 8:45kerry's grandfather was a drug runner in 8:49china so when the open waters were going 8:53on 8:53led by Britain but right at Britain's 8:56elbow was the United States everyone was 8:58making a fortune out of open from china

9:01and that was really China's significance 9:04in the 19th century early 20th century 9:07as a subjugated colonial nation was 9:12drugs and Bradley says you know the 9:15great railroad in the united states were 9:19built on drugs drugs the first 9:20industrial city long massachusetts was 9:23built on drugs money now what's 9:26interesting and very significant is the 9:28China whilst having that history almost 9:32as a presence in China today you feel 9:35that people will talk about it but has 9:37put it to one side to embrace and 9:40modernity that is quite astonishing and 9:43they've done it in such a short time now 9:45that to the United States as a threat 9:47because it's not a military threat 9:50I don't think really anybody who knows 9:52China suggest that it's it's a rapacious 9:54superpower that wants to take over the 9:57world I military major threat to the 9:59American dream

10:00it's wrecking the top door good feeling 10:03insecure 10:04okay we're just bringing out all your 10:05films are about resistance in the end 10:08they are then say it is an optimistic 10:09film even though you just mentioned 12 10:11minutes at any point we seem to be near 10:14the end of humanity how fearless the 10:17activists now who are in this film in 10:20the face of US military power because 10:23they these actors are trying to stop the 10:25domination of the islands people's well 10:27I think they're fearless and I think 10:29their courageous because you know the 10:31film really reflects their spirit i hope 10:33it's a warning and yes as you point out 10:36it's a dire warning that we should heed 10:38but the people making telling us 10:41alerting us to this this data are 10:44themselves every day demonstrating this 10:48extraordinary courage on the island of 10:50okinawa alone without any support apart 10:54from individual support from around the 10:56world they've stood up to the greatest 10:59military power on earth and as a result

11:01of gotland sells the first actually 11:04auntie US policy governor in Japan's 11:08post-war history so they've succeeded 11:11up to a point the same thing has 11:13happened on tiny jeju island off the 11:15southern tip of of Korea where every day 11:18for the last decade a group of people 11:22led by his Catholic priest age 45 masses 11:26at the gates of this US base that has 11:29been alright sorry South Korean base 11:31that has been purpose built for US 11:33nuclear submarines and destroyers they 11:35say gemäß there to try and stop it its 11:38and it's all done with such dignity and 11:40in and in silence 11:42it's a bit suspect it's a an inspiring 11:44spectacle these people standing up to 11:48what could be a connie coming war ought 11:52to be an inspiration for the rest of us 11:53John Bell Jet thank you thank you for 11:56coming more and China will be adding 11:57cinnamon for monday and it will be 11:59screened on RT documentary channel in 12:01the ninth tenth and eleventh December